This stuff is too hard to predict. It is a complex system and environmentalists have hurt themselves for years. They think that crisis is the only way to get attention .
Here is a small list of predictions that didn’t happen
- overpopulation
- acid rain
- dead oceans via Ted Dansen
- food shortage – 4 billion to die between 1980 -1989
Let’s add another. Gore and the global warming movement have said that hurricanes are going to increase and a couple of prominent weather/meterological heads have been fired for disagreeing. Again this year it was low storm season. But they keep saying it will happen.
Any movement or group should finally take heed of this. They are being discredited every year by laying their bets on the hurricanes. My guess is that they only jumped on it because of Katrina and it has backfired like it should for trying to take advantage of a situation like that.
With the overpopulation problem it wasn’t understood that people might stop having babies at the same pace. Exactly the point. Some things take care of themselves. If they keep pinning their hopes on these rolls of the dice and miss, their cause could become a dead fad like Beanie Babies. Our attention span is short and we move on to the next crisis of the day.
Here are some classic predictions that didn’t work out.
So what should you do to get lasting attention to your cause? Truth based in science. It is slow but works. Cigarettes are a prime example. Took awhile but California has went as far as to ban smoking in apartments, which is a bit too far but that is the pendulum of action.
There are plenty of holes in the current global warming theory including that CO2 levels seem to follow increasing temperatures and that there seems to be evidence of the sun’s cycle flowing with warming. Mar’s may even be heating up.
We don’t litter like we did in the 70’s, or at least my dad doesn’t. We don’t have leaded gas. Recycling programs are everywhere. In my area where they recycle paint, they actually mix it into colors which they sell back to the public for $7 a gallon and $30 for buckets.
Good things are happening but freaking out and giving false timetables lose people and ultimately hurt your cause if your roll of dice comes up snake eyes.
